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There is a growing sense in governments and board rooms around the world that a major confrontation with the working class is coming, with potentially revolutionary implications.<br /><br />The banks and the media are demanding that heads of state and parliaments demonstrate the “political will” and “political consensus” necessary to impose historic attacks on the working class. These phrases are euphemisms for a degree of ruthlessness that implies a readiness to employ state repression. However, the financial markets are at once skeptical over the willingness of political leaders to employ the required measures and anxious over the outcome of such a confrontation.......<br /><br />.......As in every other industrialized country, the American state responded to the financial crash of 2008 by taking on the debts of its banks and essentially bankrupting its treasury in order to preserve the wealth of its financial elite. The Obama administration, no less than the governments of Europe, is demanding that the cost be borne by the general population in the form of sweeping cuts in basic social programs and a reduction in consumption—i.e., a permanent and dramatic decline in working class living standards.<br /><br />Unlike in previous international financial crises, such as the Asian debt crisis of the 1990s, the United States cannot play the role of lender of last resort. The United States has irretrievably lost its previous position as the dominant world economic power, and its decline is reflected in growing challenges to the role of the dollar as the world reserve and trading currency.<br /><br />At last month’s World Economic Forum in Davos, French President Nicolas Sarkozy in his keynote speech said he would use his upcoming presidency of the Group of 20 nations to push for a new international monetary system in which the dollar would no longer be the primary reserve currency. And on Wednesday, Moody’s Investors Service warned that the United States faces the loss of its triple-A sovereign credit rating unless Obama moves to slash the federal deficit by carrying out more draconian spending cuts than he has thus far announced.<br /><br />It is the erosion of US economic power and solvency that lends to the sovereign debt crises in Greece, Portugal and other European countries such an explosive and universal character.<br /><br />The recent rise in the dollar is the result of a “flight to safety” by investors who fear a collapse in world asset bubbles and consider US Treasury bonds, along with German government debt, to be a temporary haven. In important respects, the short-term reversal in the dollar’s decline is an expression of a deepening of the crisis on world financial markets.<br /><br />As a number of economists warned last year, the US policy of flooding financial markets with cheap credit on the basis of near-zero interest rates and the electronic equivalent of printing a trillion dollars—designed to prop up the major US banks and enable them to record bumper profits despite double-digit unemployment—fueled a huge wave of speculation on risky assets such as stocks, bonds, commodities and currencies. These economists predicted that a major rise in the value of the dollar would pull the rug out from under this speculation, which was based on the assumption of a continued decline in the dollar, and force a rapid and destabilizing selloff of inflated assets.<br /><br />It now appears that this collapse in asset bubbles has begun.Hotspringswizardhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07215356654367335612noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-900671458188709604.post-36788712824460943062010-02-06T12:55:12.325-08:002010-02-06T12:55:12.325-08:00Well, at this point we can all swap horror stories...Well, at this point we can all swap horror stories 'til we just want to puke and die.<br /><br />I'm glad you started out with the bowls - beautiful work. What sort of finish do you use? That's what I'm concentrating on lately. The stuff I can actually do. It's all that will really count.mczillanoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-900671458188709604.post-27281839892681576512010-02-06T03:31:15.012-08:002010-02-06T03:31:15.012-08:00... greedy, self-aggrandizing corrupt ole bastards...... greedy, self-aggrandizing corrupt ole bastards ... but, that's how we roll, homies.<br /><br />Just pay the price amerikans—war solved<br /><br /><br />------------------------ < + > -------------------------<br /><br />“There's too much tendency to attribute to God the evils that man does of his own free will.” ~ <br /><a href="http://encyclopedia2.tfd.com/Christie%2c+Dame+Agatha" rel="nofollow"><i>Agatha Christie</i></a> (1890-1976)<br /><br />There's a whole lotta shakin' goin' on, but it's only Elvis ~ uh—huhbaz reconhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10082979204179726297noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-900671458188709604.post-56183356332022724122010-02-05T23:44:19.668-08:002010-02-05T23:44:19.668-08:00Well, if the volcanoes go off and the poles shift,...Well, if the volcanoes go off and the poles shift, we all may be wishing we were pirates at sea, Maties!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-900671458188709604.post-2264330067007513702010-02-05T17:10:27.385-08:002010-02-05T17:10:27.385-08:00Quake depths at Yellowstone becoming shallower. D...Quake depths at Yellowstone becoming shallower. Drum roll, please.rockpickerhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15705284555868707898noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-900671458188709604.post-58208551770448455292010-02-05T17:09:02.976-08:002010-02-05T17:09:02.976-08:00Rumor has it that there is an enormous collection ...Rumor has it that there is an enormous collection of warships cruising the Gulf of Aden right now, including India, China, Germany, Australia, US, Iran, France, you name it. <br /><br />My guess is there are old pirates, and there are bold pirates, but there are no old, bold pirates.<br /><br />wv thort<br />thorta thillyrockpickerhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15705284555868707898noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-900671458188709604.post-921467998232079882010-02-05T14:35:56.491-08:002010-02-05T14:35:56.491-08:00there aren't many indices that look forward in...there aren't many indices that look forward instead of back. the BDI is one of them and is as SATS presents - a measure of a factual circumstance and unlike financial markets it cannot be fiddled by such techniques as short selling or capitalising assets etc. <br /><br />however, and with respect to both RP and Sats, the vid is a year old. thus the chart is a year old and thus we're looking back. so what's gone on in the meantime? here is a current page from IT... http://investmenttools.com/futures/bdi_baltic_dry_index.htm#freight_rates showing a bounce off the dec, 08 low when hardly anything was moving worldwide. i use the word 'bounce' with all due caution! <br /><br />what circumstances of extenuating nature might be involved in the 2 spikes we see on the chart and subsequent fall from the cliff? namely china contrasted by the rapid decline of global growth. and then there's the pirates. the rapid decline in the face of continued demand from china raises a question in my mind. according to wiki finance the spike culminating in late 07 is primarily attributed to.... "Chinese demand for industrial precursors to production and its shift from coal exporter to importer. There was also a shortage of supply for dry bulk cargo ships and a large backlog at shipyards. The combination of these two factors caused a nearly 200% gain in the index."... http://www.wikinvest.com/index/Baltic_Dry_Index_-_BDI_(BALDRY)<br /><br />the piece gives no explanation for the "recovery" in the first half of 08 that i could find. as to the subsequent fall... "From June through October 2008, the index lost 85% of its value as demand for shipping plummeted. This is due to a simultaneous convergence of several factors. Chief among these is the rapid slowdown in the "global growth" phenomenon. In addition to this, credit has been nearly impossible to get for the purchase of goods and the payment of time charters on the vessels." <br /><br />the way i understand it nothing leaves port without a letter of credit from the other end. well, that begs the question... if china represents the demand and they have plenty of buck-os, just what the hell is going on?<br /><br />take the wiki piece with a grain of salt cuz it also sez this about winners and loosers... When the BDI decreases, every other consumer/producer in the global value chain wins. Since the BDI measures procurement costs, when these costs go down, producers benefit from increased margins, and consumers benefit from lower prices for finished products. <br /><br />HA! where've i been? i had no idea we're soooo well off!<br /><br />so to what might be attributed to the current 'bounce'? well, the beat certainly does go on in china. read import of raw materials. not to mention they're experiencing one of the worst colds in history and coal is a primary heat source. <br /><br />and then there's this... "An aggressive policy regarding ship demolitions and cancellations of new building contracts could allow for a new balance in the shipping market and the return of freight rates to acceptable levels in a relatively short period of time, said National Bank of Greece (NBG) in its latest report about the shipping industry. " ... http://www.hellenicshippingnews.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=65511&Itemid=31<br /><br />lotta very interesting data on the IT link perhaps giving clues as well... 1/12/10 (Reuters) Dry bulk ship owners are insisting vessels go via the Cape of Good Hope on voyages from South Africa to Mediterranean ports to avoid pirates in the Gulf of Aden - adding 10 days to shipping times. <br /><br />time is money? aye matties! we're a'gettin to 'em!! ...pAnonymousnoreply@blogger.com